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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
26
25
13
64
0
0
0
0
26
25
15
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
67
67
33
0
0
33
0
0
0
0
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
39
38
20
97
0
0
0
0
39
38
23
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 2.56 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: -0.286 true Heidke skill score: -0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.001
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.391 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.286 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.029 0.019 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.609 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00