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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
26
25
13
64
0
0
0
0
26
25
15
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
50
50
25
25
0
50
0
0
0
0
25
25
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
39
38
20
97
0
0
0
0
39
38
23
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 2.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 2.56 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.001
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.391 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.200 0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.029 0.019 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.500 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.609 0.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00