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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
26
24
13
63
0
0
0
0
26
25
15
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
33
67
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
39
36
20
95
0
0
0
0
39
38
23
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.364
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.12 2.52 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.026
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.024
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.375 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.042 0.003 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.960 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.619 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00