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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
1
3
25
24
14
63
0
0
0
0
26
25
15
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
33
33
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
2
5
38
36
21
95
0
0
0
0
39
38
23
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
3.00 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.12 2.52 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.001
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.001
threat score:
0.333 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.036 0.375 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.007 0.003 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.038 0.960 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.619 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00