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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200109-200111

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
3
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
24
24
11
59
0
1
0
1
24
27
14
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
33
50
83
0
0
0
0
0
17
0
17
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
5
8
37
37
17
91
0
2
0
2
37
42
22
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.369
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.21 2.19 0.07
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.054
true Heidke skill score: -0.091 true Heidke skill score: -0.067
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.054
true Kuipers skill score: -0.167 true Kuipers skill score: -0.061
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.387 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.143
equitable threat score:
-0.068 -0.014 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.593 1.000
samples: 6 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 9.23 %coverage: 100.00