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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200109-200111

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
4
6
23
25
12
60
0
0
0
0
23
27
16
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
33
67
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
6
9
35
38
18
91
0
0
0
0
35
41
24
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.26 2.22 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.042
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.038
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.403 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.078 0.012 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.926 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.583 0.000
samples: 6 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 9.09 %coverage: 100.00