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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200109-200111

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
23
26
16
65
0
0
0
0
23
27
16
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
35
39
24
98
0
0
0
0
35
41
24
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.394
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 2.41 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.024
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.091
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.022
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.394 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.015 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.963 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.600 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00