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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200110-200112

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
27
21
14
62
0
0
1
1
27
21
18
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
75
75
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
25
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
5
5
41
32
21
94
0
0
2
2
41
32
27
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.11 2.95 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.339 0.056
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.043 0.030 0.041
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.250
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.056
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.661 0.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00