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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200110-200112

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
27
21
15
63
0
0
0
0
27
21
18
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
5
5
41
32
23
95
0
0
0
0
41
32
27
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.318
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.11 3.00 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.006
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.023
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.043 0.022 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.667 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00