CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111-200201

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
9
4
0
13
0
0
1
1
2
2
1
5
11
6
2
19

contingency table
fcst
obs
9
4
0
13
21
16
10
47
2
2
1
5
32
22
11
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
47
21
0
68
0
0
5
5
11
11
5
26
58
32
11
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
14
6
0
20
32
25
15
72
3
3
2
8
49
34
17
100

hitrate: 0.526 hitrate: 0.400
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.18 0.17 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.41 2.14 0.45
Heidke skill score: 0.289 Heidke skill score: 0.100
true Heidke skill score: 0.153 true Heidke skill score: 0.068
Kuipers skill score: 0.289 Kuipers skill score: 0.100
true Kuipers skill score: 0.155 true Kuipers skill score: 0.071
threat score:
0.600 0.000 0.167
threat score:
0.250 0.302 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.197 -0.047 0.087
equitable threat score:
0.088 0.002 0.011
probability of detection:
0.818 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.281 0.727 0.091
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.308 1.000 0.800
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.308 0.660 0.800
samples: 19 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 29.23 %coverage: 100.00