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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111-200201

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
4
0
0
2
2
3
2
2
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
32
21
10
63
0
0
2
2
32
22
12
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
14
0
14
43
14
0
57
0
0
29
29
43
29
29
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
48
32
15
95
0
0
3
3
48
33
18
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.348
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.33 2.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.03 2.86 0.17
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: 0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.176 true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: 0.023
true Kuipers skill score: 0.187 true Kuipers skill score: 0.028
threat score:
0.000 0.200 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.328 0.167
equitable threat score:
-0.120 -0.037 1.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 0.000 0.141
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.955 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.750 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.667 0.000
samples: 7 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 10.61 %coverage: 100.00