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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111-200201

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
2
2
1
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
30
20
11
61
2
0
1
3
32
22
12
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
40
0
40
0
0
0
0
40
0
20
60
40
40
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
0
3
45
30
17
92
3
0
2
5
48
33
18
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.318
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.00 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 2.77 0.25
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.023
true Heidke skill score: -0.111 true Heidke skill score: -0.019
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.023
true Kuipers skill score: -0.125 true Kuipers skill score: -0.021
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.317 0.071
equitable threat score:
-0.250 0.000 0.167
equitable threat score:
-0.029 -0.008 0.034
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.909 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.672 0.667
samples: 5 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 7.58 %coverage: 100.00