CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
1
7
6
3
0
9
1
3
0
4
11
8
1
20

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
1
7
33
17
3
53
1
3
0
4
38
22
4
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
20
10
5
35
30
15
0
45
5
15
0
20
55
40
5
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
6
3
2
11
52
27
5
83
2
5
0
6
59
34
6
100

hitrate: 0.350 hitrate: 0.328
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.64 1.12 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.18 2.41 1.00
Heidke skill score: 0.025 Heidke skill score: -0.008
true Heidke skill score: -0.053 true Heidke skill score: -0.039
Kuipers skill score: 0.025 Kuipers skill score: -0.008
true Kuipers skill score: -0.061 true Kuipers skill score: -0.048
threat score:
0.286 0.214 0.000
threat score:
0.098 0.293 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.015 -0.058 -0.042
equitable threat score:
-0.004 -0.031 -0.032
probability of detection:
0.364 0.375 0.000
probability of detection:
0.105 0.773 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.429 0.667 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.429 0.679 1.000
samples: 20 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 31.25 %coverage: 100.00