CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
1
1
6
0
0
2
2
1
1
1
3
5
2
4
11

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
1
1
6
36
15
6
57
1
1
1
3
41
17
8
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
36
9
9
55
0
0
18
18
9
9
9
27
45
18
36
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
6
2
2
9
55
23
9
86
2
2
2
5
62
26
12
100

hitrate: 0.455 hitrate: 0.303
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.20 1.00 0.75
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.15 3.35 0.38
Heidke skill score: 0.182 Heidke skill score: -0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.120 true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: 0.182 Kuipers skill score: -0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.118 true Kuipers skill score: 0.035
threat score:
0.571 0.000 0.167
threat score:
0.093 0.254 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.298 -0.100 -0.019
equitable threat score:
0.007 0.007 0.066
probability of detection:
0.800 0.000 0.250
probability of detection:
0.098 0.882 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 1.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.737 0.667
samples: 11 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 16.67 %coverage: 100.00