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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
41
16
8
65
0
1
0
1
41
17
8
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
0
50
0
50
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
62
24
12
98
0
2
0
2
62
26
12
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.242
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.82 0.12
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.136
true Heidke skill score: -0.333 true Heidke skill score: -0.018
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.136
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.242 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.754 1.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00