CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
41
16
5
62
0
1
3
4
41
17
8
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
75
100
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
62
24
8
94
0
2
5
6
62
26
12
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.288
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.65 0.50
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: -0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.051
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: -0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.072
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.750
threat score:
0.000 0.254 0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.001 0.295
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.742 0.250
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00