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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
41
16
6
63
0
1
2
3
41
17
8
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
62
24
9
95
0
2
3
5
62
26
12
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.273
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.71 0.38
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.029
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.091
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.040
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.667
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.222
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.005 0.189
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.746 0.333
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00