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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200201-200203

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
43
16
7
66
0
1
0
1
43
17
7
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
75
0
0
75
0
25
0
25
75
25
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
64
24
10
99
0
1
0
1
64
25
10
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.239
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.88 0.14
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.142
true Heidke skill score: -0.231 true Heidke skill score: -0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.142
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.239 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.231 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.013
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.758 1.000
samples: 4 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 5.97 %coverage: 100.00