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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200201-200203

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
5
4
0
1
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
17
6
62
4
0
1
5
43
17
7
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
80
0
20
100
80
0
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
25
9
93
6
0
1
7
64
25
10
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.269
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 5.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.65 0.71
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.097
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.034
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.097
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.051
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.274 0.091
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.027 0.046
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.143
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.800
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.726 0.800
samples: 5 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 7.46 %coverage: 100.00