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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200202-200204

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
13
13
64
1
1
0
2
39
14
13
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
100
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
20
20
97
2
2
0
3
59
21
20
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.197
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.57 0.15
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.019
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.026
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.011 -0.027
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.929 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.797 1.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00