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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203-200205

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
33
19
12
64
0
0
0
0
34
19
12
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
51
29
18
98
0
0
0
0
52
29
18
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.03 3.37 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.038
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.017
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.038
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.020
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.029 0.297 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.014 0.006 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.029 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.703 0.000
samples: 1 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 1.54 %coverage: 100.00