CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203-200205

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
19
12
64
1
0
0
1
34
19
12
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
51
29
18
98
2
0
0
2
52
29
18
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.37 0.08
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.003
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.297 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.703 1.000
samples: 1 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 1.54 %coverage: 100.00