CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203-200205

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
22
14
65
1
0
0
1
30
22
14
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
50
0
0
50
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
44
33
21
98
2
0
0
2
45
33
21
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.95 0.07
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.003
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.338 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.008 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.662 1.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00