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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200204-200206

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
18
16
65
0
1
0
1
31
19
16
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
47
27
24
98
0
2
0
2
47
29
24
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.273
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.42 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.020
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.091
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.023
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.273 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.723 1.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00