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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200204-200206

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
16
18
65
0
0
1
1
31
16
19
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
47
24
27
98
0
0
2
2
47
24
29
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.258
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.06 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.114
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.019
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.114
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.023
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.246 0.053
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.005 0.038
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.053
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.754 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00