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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205-200207

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
34
16
15
65
0
0
0
0
34
17
15
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
50
0
50
50
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
52
24
23
98
0
0
0
0
52
26
23
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.242
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.03 3.82 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.136
true Heidke skill score: -1.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.026
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.136
true Kuipers skill score: -1.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.031
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.242 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.333 -0.333 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.015 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.754 0.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00