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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205-200207

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
17
15
65
1
0
0
1
34
17
15
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
67
0
67
33
0
0
33
33
67
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
26
23
98
2
0
0
2
52
26
23
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.258
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.82 0.07
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.114
true Heidke skill score: 0.400 true Heidke skill score: 0.001
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.114
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.001
threat score:
0.000 1.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.262 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 1.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.005 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.738 1.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00