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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205-200207

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
16
19
65
0
1
0
1
30
17
19
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
67
0
33
0
33
0
67
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
45
24
29
98
0
2
0
2
45
26
29
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.242
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.82 0.05
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.136
true Heidke skill score: -0.500 true Heidke skill score: -0.021
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.136
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.024
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.242 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.200 -0.200
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.500 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.754 1.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00