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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200206-200208

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
2
4
35
19
8
62
0
0
0
0
36
20
10
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
20
20
40
80
20
0
0
20
0
0
0
0
40
20
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
3
6
53
29
12
94
0
0
0
0
55
30
15
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.303
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 1.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.11 3.10 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.045
true Heidke skill score: -0.250 true Heidke skill score: -0.022
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.045
true Kuipers skill score: -0.250 true Kuipers skill score: -0.025
threat score:
0.200 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.026 0.302 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.176 -0.111 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.032 0.005 0.000
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.028 0.950 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.694 0.000
samples: 5 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 7.58 %coverage: 100.00