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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200207-200209

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
2
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
2
1
4
31
20
11
62
0
0
0
0
32
22
12
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
25
50
25
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
50
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
3
2
6
47
30
17
94
0
0
0
0
48
33
18
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.318
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
4.00 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.12 2.82 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.037
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.023
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.039
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.029 0.312 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.028 -0.015 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.031 0.909 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.677 0.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00