CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200207-200209

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
1
2
32
21
11
64
0
0
0
0
32
22
12
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
50
50
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
3
48
32
17
97
0
0
0
0
48
33
18
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.318
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 2.91 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.030
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.023
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.323 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.029 -0.008 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.955 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.672 0.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00