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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209-200211

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
21
18
21
60
1
0
0
1
22
20
23
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
33
33
67
17
0
0
17
17
0
0
17
33
33
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
3
6
32
28
32
92
2
0
0
2
34
31
35
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.277
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 0.50 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.18 3.00 0.04
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.085
true Heidke skill score: -0.500 true Heidke skill score: -0.048
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.085
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.050
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.290 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.286 -0.125 -0.125
equitable threat score:
-0.055 -0.011 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.900 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.700 1.000
samples: 6 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 9.23 %coverage: 100.00