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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209-200211

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
2
4
21
19
21
61
0
0
0
0
22
20
23
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
25
25
50
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
25
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
3
6
32
29
32
94
0
0
0
0
34
31
35
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
4.00 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.18 3.05 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.038
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.038
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.003
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.040 0.306 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 0.005 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.045 0.950 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.689 0.000
samples: 4 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 6.15 %coverage: 100.00