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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209-200211

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
2
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
2
4
7
21
18
19
58
0
0
0
0
22
20
23
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
14
29
57
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
29
57
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
3
6
11
32
28
29
89
0
0
0
0
34
31
35
100

hitrate: 0.143 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
7.00 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.32 2.90 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.286 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.027
Kuipers skill score: -0.286 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.028
threat score:
0.143 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.036 0.300 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.053 0.004 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.045 0.900 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.857 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.857 0.690 0.000
samples: 7 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 10.77 %coverage: 100.00