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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209-200211

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
22
20
22
64
0
0
0
0
22
20
23
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
34
31
34
98
0
0
0
0
34
31
35
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 3.20 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.038
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.038
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.001
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.312 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 0.007 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.688 0.000
samples: 1 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 1.54 %coverage: 100.00