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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200210-200212

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
18
25
64
0
1
0
1
21
19
25
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
28
38
98
0
2
0
2
32
29
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.277
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.37 0.04
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.085
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.024
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.085
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.277 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.719 1.000
samples: 1 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 1.54 %coverage: 100.00