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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211-200301

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
1
0
4
37
20
3
60
0
0
1
1
40
21
4
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
60
20
0
80
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
20
60
20
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
2
0
6
57
31
5
92
0
0
2
2
62
32
6
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.369
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.33 0.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.86 0.25
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: 0.054
true Heidke skill score: 0.583 true Heidke skill score: 0.049
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: 0.054
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.063
threat score:
0.750 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.073 0.328 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.375 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.014 0.015 0.238
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.075 0.952 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.250 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.250 0.667 0.000
samples: 5 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 7.69 %coverage: 100.00