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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211-200301

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
2
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
2
1
4
39
19
3
61
0
0
0
0
40
21
4
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
25
50
25
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
50
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
3
2
6
60
29
5
94
0
0
0
0
62
32
6
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
4.00 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.90 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.038
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.051
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.038
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.065
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.023 0.302 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.036 -0.016 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.025 0.905 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.689 0.000
samples: 4 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 6.15 %coverage: 100.00