CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200212-200302

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
24
13
62
1
0
1
2
26
24
14
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
33
0
33
67
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
38
20
97
2
0
2
3
41
38
22
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.391
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.58 0.14
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.086
true Heidke skill score: -0.200 true Heidke skill score: 0.033
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.086
true Kuipers skill score: -0.250 true Kuipers skill score: 0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.387 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.200
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.019 0.039
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.071
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.613 0.500
samples: 3 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 4.69 %coverage: 100.00