CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200301-200303

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
1
3
0
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
1
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
1
3
34
18
9
61
1
0
0
1
36
19
10
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
17
17
17
50
0
33
0
33
17
0
0
17
33
50
17
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
2
5
52
28
14
94
2
0
0
2
55
29
15
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 0.67 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 3.21 0.10
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.217 true Heidke skill score: -0.014
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.227 true Kuipers skill score: -0.017
threat score:
0.250 0.667 0.000
threat score:
0.026 0.290 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.500 -0.091
equitable threat score:
-0.018 0.004 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.500 0.667 0.000
probability of detection:
0.028 0.947 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.705 1.000
samples: 6 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 9.23 %coverage: 100.00