CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199505-199507

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
10
2
3
5
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
12
18
46
2
3
5
10
18
15
23
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
30
50
100
20
30
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
21
32
82
4
5
9
18
32
27
41
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.304
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.07 0.43
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.014
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.016
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.245 0.179
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.009 0.037
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.800 0.217
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.739 0.500
samples: 10 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 17.86 %coverage: 100.00