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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199505-199507

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
7
1
3
3
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
12
20
49
1
3
3
7
18
15
23
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
43
43
100
14
43
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
21
36
88
2
5
5
13
32
27
41
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.268
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.27 0.30
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: -0.098
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.025
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: -0.098
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.027
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.429
threat score:
0.000 0.231 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.029 0.005
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.800 0.130
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.755 0.571
samples: 7 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00