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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199508-199510

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
7
10
0
3
7
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
16
28
46
0
3
7
10
2
19
35
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
30
70
100
0
30
70
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
29
50
82
0
5
13
18
4
34
63
100

hitrate: 0.700 hitrate: 0.411
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.43
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.42 0.29
Heidke skill score: 0.550 Heidke skill score: 0.116
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.033
Kuipers skill score: 0.550 Kuipers skill score: 0.116
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.041
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.700
threat score:
0.000 0.327 0.184
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.012 0.024
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.842 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.300
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.652 0.300
samples: 10 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 17.86 %coverage: 100.00