CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199508-199510

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
8
11
0
4
8
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
16
27
45
0
3
8
11
2
19
35
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
8
0
8
0
25
67
92
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
29
48
80
0
5
14
20
4
34
63
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.25 1.38
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.37 0.31
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.308 true Heidke skill score: 0.055
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: 0.250 true Kuipers skill score: 0.067
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.727
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.211
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.182 0.182
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.022 0.036
probability of detection:
0.000 0.250 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.842 0.229
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.273
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.644 0.273
samples: 12 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 21.43 %coverage: 100.00