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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199509-199511

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
0
4
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
15
15
52
0
0
4
4
22
15
19
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
27
27
93
0
0
7
7
39
27
34
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.339
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.47 0.21
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.009
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.091
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.009
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.101
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.288 0.211
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.028 0.150
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.211
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.712 0.000
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00