CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
7
0
0
8
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
18
17
13
48
0
0
7
7
18
17
21
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
13
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
88
88
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
32
30
23
86
0
0
13
13
32
30
38
100

hitrate: 0.875 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.88
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 2.82 0.33
Heidke skill score: 0.812 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.168
Kuipers skill score: 0.812 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.174
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.875
threat score:
0.000 0.354 0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.017 0.073 0.238
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.875
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.646 0.000
samples: 8 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00