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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
7
7
0
1
7
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
17
14
49
0
0
7
7
18
17
21
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
13
0
13
0
0
88
88
0
13
88
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
30
25
88
0
0
13
13
32
30
38
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.88 0.33
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 1.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.169
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: 1.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.175
threat score:
0.000 1.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.347 0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 1.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.062 0.238
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.653 0.000
samples: 8 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00