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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
0
0
6
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
17
15
50
0
0
6
6
18
17
21
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
30
27
89
0
0
11
11
32
30
38
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.411
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.94 0.29
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.116
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.144
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.116
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.150
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.340 0.286
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.052 0.200
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.286
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.660 0.000
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00