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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512-199602

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
7
0
4
3
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
27
15
49
0
4
3
7
7
31
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
57
43
100
0
57
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
48
27
88
0
7
5
13
13
55
32
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.536
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.58 0.39
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: 0.304
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.023
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: 0.304
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.019
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.429
threat score:
0.000 0.509 0.136
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.005 0.038
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.871 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.449 0.571
samples: 7 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00