CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512-199602

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
2
1
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
30
16
51
2
1
2
5
7
31
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
20
40
100
40
20
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
54
29
91
4
2
4
9
13
55
32
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.571
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.65 0.28
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: 0.357
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.083
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: 0.357
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.067
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.577 0.095
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.074 0.020
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.968 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.412 0.600
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00